Monthly Archives: August 2012

Isaac Penetrates Deeper Into The Mississippi Valley

Friday August 31st, 2012

Isaac will continue to drift northward up the Mississippi River bringing heavy rain and general misery to the south…and now parts of the Midwest. With the wind dying out, the lowest on the map is now a PWI 3, which is still pretty ugly weather.

The Pacific Northwest will have an excellent late summer day Friday with lots of perfect 10’s. Oregon will have the highest mean with 8.4 and the majority of perfect 10’s. These will be found at mainly locations with a little elevation such as the Cascades or the Coast Range. One area near Portland will be Clackamas and Oregon City. Also, Sheridan, Burnt Woods, Crescent Lake, Hills Creek Reservoir, and Marion Forks. Up in Washington: Mazama, and Curlew. Scattered 10’s in Northern Idaho and Northwest Montana. Down the California Coast a number of 10’s appear including: Bull Creek, Philo, Los Altos Hills, and Day Valley.  Yesterday, I talked about an area in south-central New Mexico with 10’s and that will persist again tomorrow around Cloudcroft. Also worth mentioning is two strips of 10’s right along the shore of Lake Superior including: Gran Marais and Tofte, Minnesota. On the Michigan side: Lake of the Clouds and Ontonagon.

Alaska is rapidly going downhill to fall with a very low mean of 3.6 and more than 3,000 PWI 1’s ! Snow above 4,000 feet in the northern part of the state. Southeast Alaska is barely hanging on to some nice weather. It won’t last much longer there either.

I know nothing about Cloudcroft, New Mexico so I thought I would feature it today. The elevation of Cloudcroft is 8,600 feet which explains why it shows up on the perfect weather index map unlike the rest of New Mexcio where it’s blisteringly hot. The picutre below shows the elevation difference from the White Sands at the bottom to the Sacramento Mountains covered in forest. It was named by Fodors in 2002 as the Number 3 Most Overlooked and Underrated Destination Spot. Tourism remains the primary economic driver of the village. It is home to one of the highest golf courses in the country called The Lodge. “As you tee off on the first hole, a 150 – foot vertical drop welcomes you onto The Lodge golf course. And that’s just the beginning. At 9,000 feet above sea level, the terrain is as challenging as it is beautiful”…at least according to their web site.

Best 1. Oregon 2. Washington 3. Minnesota 4. Michigan 5. New Mexico
Worst 1. Mississippi 2. Alaska 3. Louisiana 4. Arkansas 5. Alabama

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Effects Of Isaac Just Beginning

Thursday August 30th, 2012

Isaac will weaken now that it is over land, but the effects are really just beginning. Rain will spread north as it moves inland and the perfect weather index will be quite low along its path the next few days. Thursday, Louisiana will still be the worst as a foot of rain is expected. This will expand north to Arkansas and Missouri which could actually use rain as they have been on the edge of the severe drought over the Midwest. Too bad the storm could not have taken a little more westerly track into the worst drought areas. You can see from the map below that this rain will be very beneficial to a few places.

There will be some good weather to talk about tomorrow as well. Not much in the East except a few mountain locations in West Virginia near Durbin. A few perfect 10’s in New Mexico for the first time that I can remember this year. One town here is Alto, New Mexico. The majority of the perfect weather will be in Montana including: Sandy, Whitefish, Quigley, Virginia City, and Basin. Next door in Idaho, a lot of great weather as well especially in the northern part of the state including: Elmira, Coolin, Sand Point, and Kellogg.  Scattered perfect 10’s in Washington, Oregon, and California as well.

Best 1. Montana 2. Connecticut 3. Oregon 4. Pennsylvania 5. Idaho
Worst 1. Louisiana 2. Mississippi 3. Alaska 4. Arkansas 5. Alabama

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Isaac Comes Ashore; New England Perfect Weather Outbreak

Wednesday August 29th, 2012

Expected Rainfall From Isaac

Isaac should come ashore early Wednesday with the usual potpourri of terrible weather. New Orleans should see the brunt of the bad weather with a foot rain expected. Yes, a foot…or even more! Meanwhile, an outbreak of perfect weather in New England, especially for northern Pennsylvania where a giant streak of PWI 10’s will be found from Erie to  Warren to Wysox. In Central New York: Erwinds, Townsend, Mapleton, and Marysville to name a few. Also a large area in the Hudson Valley of New York from Ticonderoga to Saratoga Springs to Tray and Catskill. A lot of 10’s  in New Hampshire including Rye,  Jaffrey and Northwood.

Out West, perfect 10’s mainly scattered through Southeast Oregon and few in California. In Oregon: Bly, and Lorella, Merrill. In California: Monte Rio, San Rafael, Piedmont, Santa Cruz, Ventura, Santa Monica, and Imperial Beach.

Eerie, Pennsylvania

Best 1. Connecticut 2. Pennsylvania 3. Massachusetts 4. Rhode Island 5. New York
Worst 1. Louisiana 2. Mississippi 3. Alaska 4. Florida 5. Georgia

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Here Comes Isaac

Monday August 27th, 2012

Tuesday August 28th, 2012

After several days of difficult predictions by the National Hurricane Center, it now looks like Isaac will head to New Orleans. Ironically, it will make landfall 7 years to the day on the anniversary of hurricane Katrina. But, this is the busiest time of year in the tropics, so having a land-falling hurricane on that date is not unusual. As you can imagine, the PWI reflects the hurricane conditions expected down in the Bayou.

Elsewhere, very average run of the mill days today and tomorrow, but the Great Lake states will be the best. Wisconsin on top today and Michigan best tomorrow. A few selections of perfect 10’s include: Bessemer, Michigan and Saltese, Montana.

Monday

Best 1. Wisconsin 2. Minnesota 3. Oregon 4. Idaho 5. Washington
Worst 1. Alaska 2. Florida 3. Georgia 4. Ohio 5. Arkansas

Tuesday

Best 1. Michigan 2. Wisconsin 3. Indiana 4. Oregon 5. Ohio
Worst 1. Louisiana 2. Alabama 3. Mississippi 4. Florida 5. Georgia

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Florida Not The Sunshine State On Sunday

Sunday August 26th, 2012

Isaac will continue to be the big weather story on Sunday. All of the Florida Peninsula will start to feel it’s effects on Sunday as it passes very near Key West Sunday night. It looks like now tropical storm Isaac will have some interaction with Cuba, so strengthening doesn’t seem likely today. Once it emerges into the Gulf all bests are off. Hopefully it will not grow into a monster in the Gulf of Mexico, but it wouldn’t surprise me if we have a major hurricane at landfall in the Florida Panhandle Tuesday night. So if you live in that area, don’t take a chance and start thinking about leaving.

Eagle Lake – Joseph D Grant County Park. San Jose, California

Outside of Florida, actually a pretty nice day for most of the nation. The national mean will be 7.1, but without Florida I suspect it would be a bit higher. Only a few hundred grid squares with perfect 10’s though, significantly less than Saturday. Most of the perfect weather will be along the California Coast including: Maple Creek, Whitehorn, San Jose, and King City. A few scattered perfect 10’s in the mountains of the Idaho Panhandle and Western Montana.

I would also like to point out a great late summer day in Southeast Alaska with widespread PWI 7’s and 8’s…even a few 9’s. This is a little unusual in that the rainy season is usually in full swing by now. Over the whole state the mean is a miserable 4.2 though.

   Best                    Worst

1. North Dakota      1. Alaska
2. Maine                     2. Florida
3. Minnesota            3. Arkansas
4. Montana               4. Oklahoma
5. Massachusetts    5. Texas

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Isaac’s Influence Will Be Felt In South Florida Saturday

Saturday August 25th, 2012

Two main features on the Perfect Weather Index map Saturday. First, tropical storm Isaac will be heading northwest toward the Gulf Of Mexico, passing just west of Key West, Florida. So far, this looks like a pretty weak storm and land interaction with Cuba will probably keep it from gaining much strength. That being said, once it comes out into the Gulf, there could be significant strengthening. I have added the projected path of the storm to the map. This may change some over the weekend, but anywhere from New Orleans to Pensacola, Florida should be on the lookout. How does Isaac play into perfect weather? Obviously, it should be as bad as it gets but that’s not entirely the case. The only redeeming factor of a hurricane is that it knocks the temperatures down into a comfortable range. So for that max temperatures you might actually have a 8 or 9. The apparent temperature may be similar to the max temperature, so you may have 6 to 8 in that area. The rest including wind, rain, and clouds will all be a 1 for sure. So I would expect no less than about 3 or 4 on the Perfect Weather Index in the hurricane areas and in fact, far South Florida will be a 4 tomorrow as the storm approaches.

Interstate 15 near Shelby, Montana

The other thing happening tomorrow is the outbreak of perfect weather in the West. Looks like Big Sky Country (Montana) will again lead the way in the overall mean and in thenumber of perfect 10’s. Some of the more significant towns with perfect 10’s in Montana include: Shelby, Whitefish, Proctor, and Avon. Next door in Idaho: North Fork, Big Creek, Galena, and Silver City. In Wyoming: Wapiti, Story, and Sundance. In Oregon and Washington perfect 10’s show up in lower elevations than recent weeks including some of the Coast Range and portions of Puget Sound. Here I’ve got Stanwood, Clearview, Ruston, Johnson Ridge on Mt. St. Helenes…all in Washington.

   Best                     Worst

1. Montana                1. Oklahoma
2. Washington         2. Alaska
3. Wyoming             3. Arkansas
4. Maine                    4. Texas
5. Idaho                     5. Delaware

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Perfect Weather For Northern Maine Friday

Friday August 24th, 2012

A very large area of perfect 10’s thrusts Maine to the top of the list on Friday. This huge area is largely in Aroostook County which is one of the least densely populated counties in the East with a population of just over 71,000 in 6,800 square miles. Aroostook County is about the size of Connecticut and Rhode Island combined. A few towns in Northern Maine with perfect weather tomorrow: Preque Isle, Loring, Oxbow, Dudley, and Ripogenus. A few perfect 10’s on some of the capes north of Portland as well. Over in Vermont, the excellent weather continues with Morgan Center and Westmore with 10’s.

The rest of the perfect 10’s will be out West and split between California, Oregon, Washington and Idaho. A sample of some of these includes: Orofino, Idaho…Cottonwood, Idaho…Cascade, Idaho…Prairie, Idaho…La Grande, Oregon…Monument, Oregon…Idanha, Oregon…Comptche, California…Guerneville, California (yet again)…Fairfax, California…Mammoth Lakes, California…San Luis Obispo, California…and finally La Conchita, California.

Since Guerneville, California has appeared at least 5 times in the last few weeks, I thought it would appropriate to feature it today. Just so you’re aware, this is not a fluke! Check here for the forecast for Guerneville and you can see why it keeps appearing. What is making Guerneville’s climate so perfect? Take a look at the map below and notice a couple of features. First, Guerneville is not on the immediate coast. Compare the forecast with Jenner, California where highs are not expected to even reach 60 degrees. Temperatures over in the Santa Rosa Valley are just a tad too warm to make a perfect 10. And last, Guerneville is surrounded by mountains which provides protection and keeps the wind down.

Armstrong Redwood Natural Preserve – California

This area is home to some amazing Redwood trees and the Armstrong Redwoods State Natural Reserve. Redwoods up to 2,000 years and grow to as much as 350 feet tall! Coast redwoods are classified as temperate rainforests and they need wet and mild climates to survive. The rainfall in Armstrong Redwoods averages 55 inches per year and the trees are often shrouded in a mystical fog that helps to maintain the moist conditions needed for the redwoods to survive.

Best 1. Maine 2. Oregon 3. Vermont 4. New Hampshire 5. Idaho
Worst 1. Alaska 2. Oklahoma 3. Texas 4. Louisiana 5. Kansas

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